{"id":665,"date":"2019-08-08T14:08:23","date_gmt":"2019-08-08T12:08:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/sofs.org.ua\/?page_id=665"},"modified":"2021-01-27T22:38:38","modified_gmt":"2021-01-27T20:38:38","slug":"1-5","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/sofs.org.ua\/en\/sample-page\/arhiv\/2017-2\/1-2\/1-5\/","title":{"rendered":"1.5"},"content":{"rendered":"

ESTIMATES OF THE EVOLUTION OF AGE STRUCTURE AND NUMBERS OF RESEARCHERS IN UKRAINE FOR THE FORTHCOMING DE\u0421<\/strong>ADE<\/strong><\/p>\n

1 <\/sup>O.S. POPOVYCH
\n<\/strong>https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5906-8358
\n<\/a>1 <\/sup>O.P. KOSTRYTSYA
\n<\/strong>https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1585-7264
\n<\/a>1 <\/sup>G.M. Dobrov Institute for Scientific and Technological Potential and Science History Studies of the NAS of Ukraine<\/p>\n

Nauka naukozn. 2017, 1(95): 48-59
\nhttps:\/\/doi.org\/10.15407\/sofs2017.01.048<\/a><\/p>\n

Section<\/strong>: Development of Science and Technology Potential
\nLanguage<\/strong>: Ukrainian
\nAbstract<\/strong>: A method to forecast evolution of the age structure of researchers in Ukraine is proposed and tested by forecasting probable change in the researchers\u2019 age profile and numbers for 2020 and 2025, for two cases: when the government\u2019s policy on R&D is unchanged and when the government undertakes radical measures to keep researchers of younger and medium age groups in research teams. It is demonstrated that the first case is fraught with even faster degradation of the Ukrainian R&D, making it incapable of self-reproduction, of contribution in the innovation-driven recovering of the economy and training of skilled personnel. This scenario can be practically avoided once the personnel can be kept in research organizations, although the situation is neglected to the extent that the echo of structural change in the domestic R&D over the recent years will be felt ten years later: the optimal age structure of researchers, which would secure harmonic phase dynamics of the role functions of researchers in research teams and self-reproduction of R&D personnel won\u2019t be possibly created till 2025 if even the most favorable scenarios of R&D financing occur.<\/p>\n

Keywords<\/strong>: age structure, age group, Ukrainian R&D, forecasting of the evolution of R&D potential, researcher.<\/strong><\/p>\n

References<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Popovych, \u041e.\u0421., Kostrytsa, \u041e.P. (2016). The Age Structure of Scientific Personnel as a Factor in the Viability of the Scientific System of Ukraine. S&I (Science and Innovation)<\/em>, 12 (2), 5\u201411 [in Ukrainian]. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15407\/scin12.02.005<\/a><\/li>\n
  2. Popovich, A.\u0421., Kostritsa, Ye.P., Artyukhin, M. (2016). A comparative analysis of the age structure of the research staff in Ukrainian, Russia, and Belarus. Science & Innovations<\/em>, 10 (169), 43\u201446 [in Russian].<\/li>\n
  3. Popovych, \u041e.\u0421., Kostrytsa, \u041e.P. (2015). Structural Change in the Research Personnel in Ukraine in 1995\u20132013. Science and Science of Science<\/em>, 3, 30\u201437 [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  4. Malitsky, B.\u0410. (1979). Forming the age structure of research personnel by the method of phase balance. Kiev [in Russian].<\/li>\n
  5. Bulkin, \u0406.\u041e. (2016). Evolution of the age structure of researches in organizations of the NAS of Ukraine. Science and Science of Science<\/em>, 4, 31\u201454 [in Russian].<\/li>\n
  6. Research and Innovation Activities in Ukraine: statistical book. The State Statistics Committee ofUkraine. Kyiv, 2011 [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  7. Database on the population of Ukraine. Mortality rates by gender and age group (0.1). Retrieved from http:\/\/database.ukrcensus.gov.ua\/Mult\/Dialog\/varval.asp?ma=000_0309&path=..\/Database\/Population\/03\/02\/&lang=1<\/a> [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

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    ESTIMATES OF THE EVOLUTION OF AGE STRUCTURE AND NUMBERS OF RESEARCHERS IN UKRAINE FOR THE FORTHCOMING DE\u0421ADE 1 O.S. POPOVYCH https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-5906-8358 1 O.P. KOSTRYTSYA https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-1585-7264 1 G.M. Dobrov Institute for Scientific and Technological Potential and Science History Studies of the NAS of Ukraine Nauka naukozn. 2017, 1(95): 48-59 https:\/\/doi.org\/10.15407\/sofs2017.01.048 Section: Development of Science and Technology […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":653,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"2.12.2","language":"en","enabled_languages":["uk","en","ru"],"languages":{"uk":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"en":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"ru":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false}}},"yoast_head":"\n1.5 - Science and Science of Science<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/sofs.org.ua\/sample-page\/arhiv\/2017-2\/1-2\/1-5\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"1.5 - 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